#12 Big 12 Conference
Texas Tech
Projected 10–2 · 10.4 proj. wins
Playoff:IN
Playoff
46%
Title
3%
Win conf
30%
SOS
#85
Schedule & outlook
- W1vs Abilene Christian99%
- W2@ Oregon St96%
- W3vs Houston78%
- W4vs Sam Houston99%
- W5@ Colorado85%
- W7vs Arizona State85%
- W8@ Cincinnati82%
- W9vs Arizona82%
- W10vs West Virginia91%
- W11@ Oklahoma State83%
- W12@ Baylor76%
- W13vs TCU86%
Chaos meter55 · HEATING UP
CalmMayhem
Path to the playoff
- LOCKWin the Big 12 Conference → the auto-bid and you're in.
- RISKDrop one you should win → the bubble math turns ugly.
- CHAOSTwo losses → now you'd need chaos elsewhere.
Full odds
- Make the 12
- 46%
- 16-team field
- 57%
- 24-team field
- 70%
- Win conference
- 30%
- National title
- 3%
Up next
vs Abilene Christian· W199% WIN
Rooting guide
Beyond Texas Tech's own games, here's who to scoreboard-watch — the teams chasing the same playoff spots.
Win the BIG 12
The rivals between you and the league's bids — root against them.
BYU22%
Utah21%
Kansas State20%
At-large dogfight
Closest teams to you in the national race — every loss helps.
Texas49%
Georgia43%
Ohio State52%
Miami58%
The buzz
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Board 63 · Polls 67 · Model 61 · Updated Jun 21, 2026