Week 12 · College Football

Arkansas vs Texas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 92% chance to beat Arkansas in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#55 Southeastern Conference

Arkansas

5% to make the 12

@

#5 Southeastern Conference

Texas

48% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas −21.5Model
Projected scoreArkansas 15 — Texas 37

Texas is a heavy favorite — 92% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter16 · CHALK
16/ 100
CalmMayhem

Arkansas

8%

to win

Texas

92%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Arkansas
vs
Texas
#13Offense · EPA/play#57
#123Defense · EPA/play#40
#23Explosiveness#13
#11Success rate#94
36%Returning production28%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

80 meetings all-time

Texas leads 57–23

Last met 2025 · Texas 52–37 Arkansas— Texas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Arkansas is hearing

What Texas is hearing

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