Week 2 · College Football

Ohio State vs Texas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 54% chance to beat Ohio State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#2 Big Ten Conference

Ohio State

52% to make the 12

@

#5 Southeastern Conference

Texas

48% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreOhio State 25Texas 27

A coin flip. The model nudges Texas by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter92 · TOSS-UP
92/ 100
CalmMayhem

Ohio State

46%

to win

Texas

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Ohio State
vs
Texas
#7Offense · EPA/play#57
#5Defense · EPA/play#40
#124Explosiveness#13
#1Success rate#94
31%Returning production28%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

5 meetings all-time

Ohio State leads 3–2

Last met 2025 · Ohio State 147 TexasOhio State won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Ohio State is hearing

What Texas is hearing

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