Week 3 · College Football

UTSA vs Texas prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Texas a 93% chance to beat UTSA in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#49 American Athletic Conference

UTSA

3% to make the 12

@

#5 Southeastern Conference

Texas

48% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadTexas −22.5Model
Projected scoreUTSA 15 — Texas 37

Texas is a heavy favorite — 93% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.

Chaos meter14 · CHALK
14/ 100
CalmMayhem

UTSA

7%

to win

Texas

93%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UTSA
vs
Texas
#43Offense · EPA/play#57
#58Defense · EPA/play#40
#30Explosiveness#13
#48Success rate#94
96%Returning production28%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

Texas leads 2–0

Last met 2024 · Texas 56–7 UTSA— Texas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UTSA is hearing

What Texas is hearing

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