Week 3 · College Football

Temple vs Toledo prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Toledo a 59% chance to beat Temple in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#94 American Athletic Conference

Temple

1% to make the 12

@

#92 Mid-American Conference

Toledo

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadToledo −3.5Model
Projected scoreTemple 24Toledo 28

A coin flip. The model nudges Toledo by a field goal — 59% to win.

Chaos meter82 · TOSS-UP
82/ 100
CalmMayhem

Temple

41%

to win

Toledo

59%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Temple
vs
Toledo
#56Offense · EPA/play#44
#125Defense · EPA/play#1
#102Explosiveness#87
#63Success rate#43
100%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

10 meetings all-time

Toledo leads 7–3

Last met 2015 · Toledo 3217 Temple (neutral)Toledo won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Temple is hearing

What Toledo is hearing

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