Week 8 · College Football

W Michigan vs Toledo prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Toledo a 51% chance to beat W Michigan in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#74 Mid-American Conference

W Michigan

1% to make the 12

@

#92 Mid-American Conference

Toledo

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadToledo −0.5Model
Projected scoreW Michigan 26Toledo 26

A coin flip. The model nudges Toledo by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

W Michigan

49%

to win

Toledo

51%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
W Michigan
vs
Toledo
#106Offense · EPA/play#44
#17Defense · EPA/play#1
#136Explosiveness#87
#69Success rate#43
100%Returning production69%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What W Michigan is hearing

What Toledo is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.