Week 5 · College Football

North Texas vs Tulsa prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives North Texas a 69% chance to beat Tulsa in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#37 American Athletic Conference

North Texas

4% to make the 12

@

#93 American Athletic Conference

Tulsa

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNorth Texas −7.5Model
Projected scoreNorth Texas 30 — Tulsa 22

North Texas is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 69% on the model.

Chaos meter63 · LIVE
63/ 100
CalmMayhem

North Texas

69%

to win

Tulsa

31%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
North Texas
vs
Tulsa
#2Offense · EPA/play#99
#74Defense · EPA/play#68
#34Explosiveness#52
#2Success rate#93
56%Returning production99%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

26 meetings all-time

Tulsa leads 17–9

Last met 2024 · North Texas 52–20 Tulsa— North Texas won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What North Texas is hearing

What Tulsa is hearing

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