Week 12 · College Football

UTSA vs UAB prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives UTSA a 79% chance to beat UAB in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#49 American Athletic Conference

UTSA

3% to make the 12

@

#122 American Athletic Conference

UAB

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUTSA −12.5Model
Projected scoreUTSA 32 — UAB 20

UTSA should handle it: 12.5-point edge, 79% to win.

Chaos meter42 · LEAN
42/ 100
CalmMayhem

UTSA

79%

to win

UAB

21%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
UTSA
vs
UAB
#43Offense · EPA/play#58
#58Defense · EPA/play#135
#30Explosiveness#39
#48Success rate#58
96%Returning production73%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

8 meetings all-time

All square 4–4

Last met 2023 · UTSA 41–20 UAB— UTSA won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What UTSA is hearing

What UAB is hearing

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