Week 1 · College Football
Fresno State vs USC prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives USC a 93% chance to beat Fresno State in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#72 Mountain West Conference
Fresno State
2% to make the 12
#8 Big Ten Conference
USC
31% to make the 12
The model's read
USC is a heavy favorite — 93% in the model. Upset alert if it's close.
Fresno State
7%
to win
USC
93%
to win
Who wins?
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Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksFresno StateUSCNational ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Series history
6 meetings all-timeUSC leads 5–1
Last met 2022 · USC 45–17 Fresno State— USC won
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Fresno State is hearing
What USC is hearing
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