Week 5 · College Football

Washington vs USC prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives USC a 71% chance to beat Washington in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#19 Big Ten Conference

Washington

17% to make the 12

@

#8 Big Ten Conference

USC

31% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUSC −8.5Model
Projected scoreWashington 22 — USC 30

USC is the pick by 8.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Washington

29%

to win

USC

71%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Washington
vs
USC
#19Offense · EPA/play#4
#19Defense · EPA/play#65
#53Explosiveness#21
#10Success rate#8
42%Returning production37%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

88 meetings all-time

USC leads 52–32–4

Last met 2024 · Washington 26–21 USC— Washington won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Washington is hearing

What USC is hearing

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