#19 Big Ten Conference

Washington

Projected 7–5 · 7 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Washington win? The Ninjas project 7.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

17%

Title

Win conf

SOS

#22

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Washington St89%
W2vs Utah State91%
W3vs Eastern Washington99%
W4vs Minnesota79%
W5@ USC27%
W6vs Iowa62%
W7@ Purdue81%
W9@ Nebraska54%
W10vs Penn State58%
W11@ Michigan State71%
W12vs Indiana21%
W13@ Oregon11%

Chaos meter43 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Oregon → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 17%
16-team field: 25%
24-team field: 35%
Win conference: 3%
National title: 1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 17% → 17%

Pre 17%Aug 17%

Up next

vs Washington St· W189% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Washington finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#13

+18.4 · off #20 / def #9

Talent composite

#37

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#23

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

42%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#20

EPA / play#19
Success rate#10
Explosiveness#53

Defense#9

EPA / play#19
Success rate#29

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

-9

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.