Week 4 · College Football
Colorado St vs UTSA prediction
The TailgateNinjas model gives UTSA a 86% chance to beat Colorado St in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.
#120 Mountain West Conference
Colorado St
0% to make the 12
@
#49 American Athletic Conference
UTSA
3% to make the 12
The model's read
SpreadUTSA −16.5Model
Projected scoreColorado St 18 — UTSA 34
UTSA should handle it: 16.5-point edge, 86% to win.
Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem
Colorado St
14%
to win
UTSA
86%
to win
Who wins?
Be the firstTap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
Tale of the tape
2025 efficiency · ranksColorado StUTSA#94Offense · EPA/play#43
#119Defense · EPA/play#58
#86Explosiveness#30
#103Success rate#48
50%Returning production96%
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Both sidelines
via Google NewsWhat Colorado St is hearing
What UTSA is hearing
Get The Drop
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.