Week 13 · College Football

Tulsa vs UTSA prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives UTSA a 77% chance to beat Tulsa in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#93 American Athletic Conference

Tulsa

1% to make the 12

@

#49 American Athletic Conference

UTSA

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadUTSA −11.5Model
Projected scoreTulsa 20UTSA 32

UTSA should handle it: 11.5-point edge, 77% to win.

Chaos meter46 · LEAN
46/ 100
CalmMayhem

Tulsa

23%

to win

UTSA

77%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Tulsa
vs
UTSA
#99Offense · EPA/play#43
#68Defense · EPA/play#58
#52Explosiveness#30
#93Success rate#48
99%Returning production96%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

2 meetings all-time

All square 1–1

Last met 2024 · Tulsa 4645 UTSATulsa won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Tulsa is hearing

What UTSA is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.