Week 4 · College Football

Boise State vs W Michigan prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 61% chance to beat W Michigan in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#44 Mountain West Conference

Boise State

3% to make the 12

@

#74 Mid-American Conference

W Michigan

1% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBoise State −4.5Model
Projected scoreBoise State 28W Michigan 24

Boise State is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

Boise State

61%

to win

W Michigan

39%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Boise State
vs
W Michigan
#60Offense · EPA/play#106
#42Defense · EPA/play#17
#36Explosiveness#136
#86Success rate#69
58%Returning production100%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Boise State is hearing

What W Michigan is hearing

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