Week 12 · College Football

New Mexico vs Wyoming prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New Mexico a 61% chance to beat Wyoming in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#87 Mountain West Conference

New Mexico

1% to make the 12

@

#121 Mountain West Conference

Wyoming

0% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadNew Mexico −4.5Model
Projected scoreNew Mexico 28 — Wyoming 24

New Mexico is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 61% on the model.

Chaos meter77 · LIVE
77/ 100
CalmMayhem

New Mexico

61%

to win

Wyoming

39%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New Mexico
vs
Wyoming
#74Offense · EPA/play#124
#45Defense · EPA/play#25
#55Explosiveness#112
#88Success rate#118
13%Returning production77%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

77 meetings all-time

Wyoming leads 41–36

Last met 2024 · New Mexico 45–49 Wyoming— Wyoming won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New Mexico is hearing

What Wyoming is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.