#121 Mountain West Conference

Wyoming

Projected 6–6 · 6 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Wyoming win? The Ninjas project 6.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

<1%

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#134

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1@ Colorado St37%
W2vs Northern Colorado83%
W3@ C Michigan30%
W4vs Hawai'i39%
W5@ North Dakota State72%
W6@ San José St44%
W7vs N Illinois74%
W8vs Air Force47%
W10@ UNLV18%
W11@ UTEP61%
W12vs New Mexico37%
W13vs UConn41%

Chaos meter31 · SIMMERING

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to UNLV → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: <1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 2%
Win conference: 7%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 0% → 0%

Pre 0%Aug 0%

Up next

@ Colorado St· W137% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Wyoming finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#110

-11.3 · off #129 / def #55

Talent composite

#117

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#89

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

77%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#129

EPA / play#124
Success rate#118
Explosiveness#112

Defense#55

EPA / play#25
Success rate#25

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3.1★ avg

Portal out

3★ avg

Net

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.