Head to head · since 2015
Updated Aug 30, 2026Duke vs Virginia
Virginia leads Duke 9-2 over their last 11 meetings since 2015. They meet again in Week 8, and our model gives Virginia a 68% chance. Updated August 29, 2026.
11
meetings
17.4
avg margin (pts)
1
Virginia streak
Next meeting · Week 8
Duke at Virginia. Our model gives Virginia a 68% chance. That number is locked before kickoff and graded afterwards.
Full matchup breakdown →Biggest upset
2023
Virginia won with a 24% chance
Biggest crowd
52,847
2019 · Scott Stadium
Every meeting
Results from 2015 to 2025, most recent first.
- 2025Virginia beat Duke34–17
- 2025Duke beat Virginia · neutral27–20
- 2023Virginia beat Duke30–27
- 2022Duke beat Virginia38–17
- 2021Virginia beat Duke48–0
- 2020Virginia beat Duke38–20
- 2019Virginia beat Duke48–14
- 2018Virginia beat Duke28–14
- 2017Virginia beat Duke28–21
- 2016Virginia beat Duke34–20
- 2015Virginia beat Duke42–34
Latest on both
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