Head to head · since 2015
Updated Aug 30, 2026North Carolina vs Virginia
Virginia leads North Carolina 6-5 over their last 11 meetings since 2015. They meet again in Week 12, and our model gives Virginia a 71% chance. Updated August 29, 2026.
11
meetings
10.5
avg margin (pts)
1
Virginia streak
Next meeting · Week 12
North Carolina at Virginia. Our model gives Virginia a 71% chance. That number is locked before kickoff and graded afterwards.
Full matchup breakdown →Wildest game
2023
31–27, wilder than 94% of all games
Biggest upset
2023
Virginia won with a 9% chance
Biggest crowd
52,000
2015 · Kenan Stadium
Every meeting
Results from 2015 to 2025, most recent first.
- 2025Virginia beat North Carolina17–16
- 2024North Carolina beat Virginia41–14
- 2023Virginia beat North Carolina31–27
- 2022North Carolina beat Virginia31–28
- 2021North Carolina beat Virginia59–39
- 2020Virginia beat North Carolina44–41
- 2019Virginia beat North Carolina38–31
- 2018Virginia beat North Carolina31–21
- 2017Virginia beat North Carolina20–14
- 2016North Carolina beat Virginia35–14
- 2015North Carolina beat Virginia26–13
Latest on both
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Virginia
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