Atlantic Coast Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects Stanford to finish 2-9 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 28%, averaging 2.7 wins across 11 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
2-9
28% likely
Expected wins
2.7
11 rated games
Vegas win total
3.5
market
Model vs market
-0.8
we're lower
Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
at Notre Dame
Week 6 · 1% to win
Easiest game
vs Hawai'i
Week 1 · 60% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.