#105 Atlantic Coast Conference

Stanford

Projected 4–8 · 4 proj. wins

Playoff:OUT

Updated Aug 30, 2026 · model record 83% on 6 graded calls →

Call the season

How many games does Stanford win? The Ninjas project 4.

Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.

Playoff

Title

<1%

Win conf

SOS

#43

Schedule & outlook

Full schedule + record projection →

W1vs Hawai'i60%
W1vs Miami5%
W3@ Duke26%
W4vs Georgia Tech32%
W5@ Wake Forest28%
W6@ Notre Dame1%
W7vs Elon92%
W8vs NC State31%
W9@ Louisville14%
W11@ Virginia Tech26%
W12@ California23%
W13vs SMU19%

Chaos meter13 · CALM

CalmMayhem

Path to the playoff

Playoff odds →

LOCKWin out → in the field, no committee debate.
RISKLose to Notre Dame → the margin for error vanishes.
CHAOSRun the table + upsets → the only way the door opens.

Full odds

Make the 12: 1%
16-team field: 1%
24-team field: 3%
Win conference: 1%
National title: <1%

Our playoff odds call · month by month

▲0

Pre 1% → 1%

Pre 1%Aug 1%

Up next

vs Hawai'i· W160% WIN

Matchup preview & buzz →

Last season

2025 · via CFBD

Where Stanford finished a year ago — the foundation the 2026 outlook is built on.

SP+ rating

#112

-11.8 · off #117 / def #78

Talent composite

#46

247 blue-chip composite

Recruiting class

#56

2025 signing class

Returning prod.

19%

of offensive production

Efficiency

2025 · national rank

Offense#117

EPA / play#119
Success rate#123
Explosiveness#83

Defense#78

EPA / play#85
Success rate#84

The big number is opponent-adjusted SP+ offense/defense; the splits underneath are per-play efficiency — the same signals that feed the 2026 model. Lower rank is better.

Offseason moves

2026 portal · via CFBD

Portal in

3★ avg

Portal out

3.1★ avg

Net

-6

in − out

Scholarship players in and out of the transfer portal for 2026, with average recruiting stars — a quick read on whether the roster got deeper or thinner. Star quality matters as much as the count.