American Athletic Conference · 2026
Updated Aug 30, 2026The TailgateNinjas model projects Tulane to finish 8-4 in 2026, the most likely of any record at 25%, averaging 7.6 wins across 12 rated games. Updated August 29, 2026.
Projected record
8-4
25% likely
Expected wins
7.6
12 rated games
Vegas win total
7.5
market
Model vs market
+0.1
we're higher
Win probability from our model. Non-FBS opponents aren't rated, so those games show no number.
The chance of each final record, from the per-game probabilities above. Records under 1% are hidden.
Hardest game
at Kansas State
Week 3 · 27% to win
Easiest game
at Charlotte
Week 9 · 87% to win
Closest to a coin flip — where the season actually gets decided.