← Week 2 predictions

Playoff impact · Week 2

Updated Aug 30, 2026

The games that actually matter

6 of the 47 college football games in Week 2 would change who makes our projected 12-team playoff field, led by Arizona State at Texas A&M. Updated August 29, 2026.

Measured, not asserted: we build the projected field twice for every game — once with each side winning — and count the spots that change. That's why a game between two teams who are both getting in anyway can rank below one that swings a conference title.

Changes who gets in

  • Arizona State at Texas A&M2 spots swing · 81% home

    If Texas A&M wins
    Texas A&M make the field

    If Arizona State wins
    Ole Miss make the field

  • Louisiana at USC2 spots swing · 94% home

    If USC wins
    USC make the field

    If Louisiana wins
    Ole Miss make the field

  • Oklahoma at Michigan2 spots swing · 64% home

    If Michigan wins
    Michigan make the field

    If Oklahoma wins
    Oklahoma make the field

  • Arizona at BYU2 spots swing · 71% home

    If BYU wins
    BYU make the field

    If Arizona wins
    Texas Tech make the field

  • Memphis at Boise State2 spots swing · 62% home

    If Boise State wins
    Boise State make the field

    If Memphis wins
    Memphis make the field

  • Texas Tech at Oregon St2 spots swing · 4% home

    If Oregon St wins
    BYU make the field

    If Texas Tech wins
    Texas Tech make the field

Moves the seeding

Same twelve teams either way, but the bracket order changes.