Week 2 · College Football

Memphis vs Boise State prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Boise State a 64% chance to beat Memphis in this College Football matchup. Updated August 29, 2026.

#57 American Athletic Conference

Memphis

3% to make the 12

@

#44 Mountain West Conference

Boise State

3% to make the 12

The model's read

SpreadBoise State −5.5Model
Projected scoreMemphis 23 — Boise State 29

Boise State is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 64% on the model.

Chaos meter72 · LIVE
72/ 100
CalmMayhem

Memphis

36%

to win

Boise State

64%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Memphis
vs
Boise State
#24Offense · EPA/play#60
#78Defense · EPA/play#42
#33Explosiveness#36
#39Success rate#86
12%Returning production58%

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

1 meeting all-time

Memphis leads 1–0

Last met 2023 · Memphis 35–32 Boise State— Memphis won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Memphis is hearing

What Boise State is hearing

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