Week 1 · NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Las Vegas Raiders a 60% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

@

#29 AFC West

Las Vegas Raiders

3% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadLas Vegas Raiders −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreMiami Dolphins 20 — Las Vegas Raiders 24

A coin flip. The model nudges Las Vegas Raiders by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP
80/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami Dolphins

40%

to win

Las Vegas Raiders

60%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami Dolphins
vs
Las Vegas Raiders
#22Offense · EPA/play#32
#26Defense · EPA/play#21
#27Success rate#30

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

17 meetings since 1999

Miami Dolphins leads 13–4

Last met 2024 · Miami Dolphins 34–19 Las Vegas Raiders— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

What Las Vegas Raiders is hearing

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