AFC West
Las Vegas Raiders
2026 projection
Projected wins
6
6–11
Vegas win total
5.5
season over/under
Schedule
#16
16th-hardest slate
Make playoffs
3%
win division 1%
Win Super Bowl
<1%
reach SB <1%
The model projects Las Vegas Raiders to about 6 wins, with a 3% shot at the playoffs and a <1% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Las Vegas Raiders win? The Ninjas project 6 · Vegas 5.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
vs Miami Dolphins· Wk 160% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Miami DolphinsVegas -3.5Lean Win60%
- Wk 2
@ Los Angeles ChargersVegas +8.5Likely Loss26% - Wk 3
@ New Orleans SaintsVegas +3.5Lean Loss40% - Wk 4
vs Kansas City ChiefsVegas +5.5Likely Loss34% - Wk 5
@ New England PatriotsVegas +8.5Likely Loss26% - Wk 6
vs Buffalo BillsVegas +6.5Likely Loss32% - Wk 7
vs Los Angeles RamsLikely Loss24% - Wk 8
@ New York JetsToss-up46% - Wk 9
@ San Francisco 49ersLikely Loss18% - Wk 10
vs Seattle SeahawksLikely Loss25% - Wk 11
@ Denver BroncosLikely Loss22% - Wk 12
@ Cleveland BrownsLean Loss40% - Wk 14vs Los Angeles ChargersLikely Loss30%
- Wk 15vs Denver BroncosLikely Loss32%
- Wk 16
vs Tennessee TitansToss-up50% - Wk 17
@ Arizona CardinalsToss-up47% - Wk 18@ Kansas City ChiefsLikely Loss18%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- LBQuay Walkerfrom Green Bay Packers
- DEKwity Payefrom Indianapolis Colts
- CBTaron Johnsonfrom Buffalo Bills
- WRJalen Nailorfrom Minnesota Vikings
- QBKirk Cousinsfrom Atlanta Falcons
- LBNakobe Deanfrom Philadelphia Eagles
Lost ↑
- LBDevin Whitereleased / FA
- TDelmar Glazereleased / FA
- QBGeno Smithto New York Jets
- GDylan Parhamreleased / FA
- OLStone Forsythereleased / FA
- CJordan Meredithreleased / FA
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
10 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #1Fernando MendozaIndianaQB
- R2 · #38Treydan StukesArizonaCB
- R3 · #67Keyron CrawfordAuburnDE
- R3 · #91Trey Zuhn IIITexas A&MOT
- R4 · #101Jermod McCoyTennesseeCB
- R4 · #122Mike Washington Jr.ArkansasRB
- R5 · #150Dalton JohnsonArizonaS
- R5 · #175Hezekiah MassesCaliforniaCB
- R6 · #195Malik BensonOregonWR
- R7 · #229Brandon ClevelandNorth Carolina St.DT
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