Week 1 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Philadelphia Eagles a 63% chance to beat Washington Commanders in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#21 NFC East
Washington Commanders
15% to make the playoffs

#7 NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles
72% to make the playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.
Washington Commanders
37%
to win
Philadelphia Eagles
63%
to win
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National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Philadelphia Eagles leads 34–21
Last met 2025 · Philadelphia Eagles 17–24 Washington Commanders— Washington Commanders won
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