NFC East
Washington Commanders
2026 projection
Projected wins
8
8–9
Vegas win total
7.5
season over/under
Schedule
#6
6th-hardest slate
Make playoffs
15%
win division 7%
Win Super Bowl
<1%
reach SB 1%
The model projects Washington Commanders to about 8 wins, with a 15% shot at the playoffs and a 1% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Washington Commanders win? The Ninjas project 8 · Vegas 7.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
@ Philadelphia Eagles· Wk 137% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Philadelphia EaglesVegas +4.5Lean Loss37%
- Wk 2
@ Dallas CowboysVegas +4.5Lean Loss37% - Wk 3
vs Seattle SeahawksVegas +3.5Lean Loss40% - Wk 4
vs Indianapolis Colts (neutral)Vegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 5
vs New York GiantsVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 6
@ San Francisco 49ersVegas +5.5Likely Loss34% - Wk 8vs Philadelphia EaglesLean Loss39%
- Wk 9
vs Los Angeles RamsLean Loss36% - Wk 10@ New York GiantsLean Loss45%
- Wk 11
vs Cincinnati BengalsToss-up49% - Wk 12
@ Arizona CardinalsLean Win61% - Wk 13
@ Tennessee TitansToss-up53% - Wk 14
vs Houston TexansLean Loss45% - Wk 15
vs Atlanta FalconsLean Win62% - Wk 16
@ Minnesota VikingsLean Loss40% - Wk 17
@ Jacksonville JaguarsLean Loss39% - Wk 18vs Dallas CowboysLean Loss43%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- SNick Crossfrom Indianapolis Colts
- CBAmik Robertsonfrom Detroit Lions
- LBK'Lavon Chaissonfrom New England Patriots
- TEChigoziem Okonkwofrom Tennessee Titans
- WRVan Jeffersonfrom Tennessee Titans
- RBRachaad Whitefrom Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Lost ↑
- LBBobby Wagnerreleased / FA
- TJosh Conerlyreleased / FA
- CTyler Biadaszreleased / FA
- GChris Paulreleased / FA
- TLaremy Tunsilreleased / FA
- WRDeebo Samuelreleased / FA
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
6 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #7Sonny StylesOhio St.LB
- R3 · #71Antonio WilliamsClemsonWR
- R5 · #147Joshua JosephsTennesseeDE
- R6 · #187Kaytron AllenPenn St.RB
- R6 · #209Matt GulbinMichigan St.OL
- R7 · #223Athan KaliakmanisRutgersQB
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