Week 2 · NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Denver Broncos a 57% chance to beat Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#17 AFC South

Jacksonville Jaguars

43% to make the playoffs

@

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDenver Broncos −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreJacksonville Jaguars 21 — Denver Broncos 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Denver Broncos by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Jacksonville Jaguars

43%

to win

Denver Broncos

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
Denver Broncos
#14Offense · EPA/play#10
#3Defense · EPA/play#6
#15Success rate#16

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

12 meetings since 1999

Jacksonville Jaguars leads 7–5

Last met 2025 · Denver Broncos 20–34 Jacksonville Jaguars— Jacksonville Jaguars won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing

What Denver Broncos is hearing

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