AFC South
Jacksonville Jaguars
2026 projection
Projected wins
8.6
9–8
Vegas win total
8.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
44%
win division 29%
Win Super Bowl
1%
reach SB 3%
The model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to about 8.6 wins, with a 44% shot at the playoffs and a 2% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
vs Cleveland Browns· Wk 171% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Cleveland BrownsVegas -7.5Likely Win71%
- Wk 2
@ Denver BroncosVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 3
vs New England PatriotsVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 4
@ Cincinnati BengalsVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 5
vs Philadelphia EaglesVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 6
vs Houston Texans (neutral)Vegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 8
vs Indianapolis ColtsLean Win63% - Wk 9
@ Baltimore RavensLikely Loss29% - Wk 10
@ Tennessee TitansLean Win58% - Wk 11
@ New York GiantsToss-up50% - Wk 12vs Tennessee TitansLikely Win69%
- Wk 13
@ Chicago BearsLean Loss38% - Wk 14
vs Pittsburgh SteelersLean Win57% - Wk 15@ Houston TexansLean Loss39%
- Wk 16
@ Dallas CowboysLean Loss37% - Wk 17
vs Washington CommandersLean Win61% - Wk 18@ Indianapolis ColtsToss-up52%
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