Week 2 · NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives New England Patriots a 63% chance to beat Pittsburgh Steelers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#20 AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers

32% to make the playoffs

@

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadNew England Patriots −4.5Vegas
Projected scorePittsburgh Steelers 20 — New England Patriots 24

New England Patriots is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Pittsburgh Steelers

37%

to win

New England Patriots

63%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Pittsburgh Steelers
vs
New England Patriots
#16Offense · EPA/play#1
#18Defense · EPA/play#11
#17Success rate#3

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

19 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 14–5

Last met 2025 · New England Patriots 14–21 Pittsburgh Steelers— Pittsburgh Steelers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Pittsburgh Steelers is hearing

What New England Patriots is hearing

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