AFC East
New England Patriots
2026 projection
Projected wins
9
9–8
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Schedule
#24
9th-easiest slate
Make playoffs
63%
win division 31%
Win Super Bowl
3%
reach SB 7%
The model projects New England Patriots to about 9 wins, with a 63% shot at the playoffs and a 5% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does New England Patriots win? The Ninjas project 9 · Vegas 9.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
@ Seattle Seahawks· Wk 140% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Seattle SeahawksVegas +3.5Lean Loss40%
- Wk 2
vs Pittsburgh SteelersVegas -4.5Lean Win63% - Wk 3
@ Jacksonville JaguarsVegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 4
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 5
vs Las Vegas RaidersVegas -8.5Likely Win74% - Wk 6
vs New York JetsVegas -9.5Likely Win76% - Wk 7
@ Chicago BearsVegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 8
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win72% - Wk 9
vs Green Bay PackersToss-up49% - Wk 10
vs Detroit Lions (neutral)Vegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 12
@ Los Angeles ChargersLean Loss42% - Wk 13vs Buffalo BillsToss-up49%
- Wk 14
vs Minnesota VikingsLean Win61% - Wk 15
@ Kansas City ChiefsLean Loss38% - Wk 16@ New York JetsLikely Win70%
- Wk 17
vs Denver BroncosLean Win56% - Wk 18vs Miami DolphinsLikely Win81%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- DBKevin Byardfrom Chicago Bears
- WRA.J. Brownfrom Philadelphia Eagles
- WRRomeo Doubsfrom Green Bay Packers
- TEJulian Hillfrom Miami Dolphins
- LBDre'Mont Jonesfrom Tennessee Titans
- FBReggie Gilliamfrom Buffalo Bills
Lost ↑
- OLMichael Onwenureleased / FA
- CGarrett Bradburyreleased / FA
- TMorgan Mosesreleased / FA
- SJaylinn Hawkinsto Baltimore Ravens
- OLJared Wilsonreleased / FA
- TWill Campbellreleased / FA
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
9 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #28Caleb LomuUtahOT
- R2 · #55Gabe JacasIllinoisDE
- R3 · #95Eli RaridonNotre DameTE
- R5 · #171Karon PruntyWake ForestDB
- R6 · #196Dametrious CrownoverTexas A&MOT
- R6 · #212Namdi ObiazorTCULB
- R7 · #234Behren MortonTexas TechQB
- R7 · #245Jam MillerAlabamaRB
- R7 · #247Quintayvious HutchinsBoston Col.DE
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