AFC East
New England Patriots
2026 projection
Projected wins
9.5
10–7
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
63%
win division 31%
Win Super Bowl
3%
reach SB 7%
The model projects New England Patriots to about 9.5 wins, with a 63% shot at the playoffs and a 5% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
@ Seattle Seahawks· Wk 140% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Seattle SeahawksVegas +3.5Lean Loss40%
- Wk 2
vs Pittsburgh SteelersVegas -4.5Lean Win63% - Wk 3
@ Jacksonville JaguarsVegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 4
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 5
vs Las Vegas RaidersVegas -8.5Likely Win74% - Wk 6
vs New York JetsLikely Win79% - Wk 7
@ Chicago BearsLean Loss43% - Wk 8
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win72% - Wk 9
vs Green Bay PackersToss-up49% - Wk 10
vs Detroit Lions (neutral)Toss-up46% - Wk 12
@ Los Angeles ChargersLean Loss42% - Wk 13vs Buffalo BillsToss-up49%
- Wk 14
vs Minnesota VikingsLean Win61% - Wk 15
@ Kansas City ChiefsLean Loss38% - Wk 16@ New York JetsLikely Win70%
- Wk 17
vs Denver BroncosLean Win56% - Wk 18vs Miami DolphinsLikely Win81%
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