Week 3 · NFL

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston Texans a 54% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#13 AFC South

Houston Texans

68% to make the playoffs

@

#24 AFC South

Indianapolis Colts

23% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadHouston Texans −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreHouston Texans 23Indianapolis Colts 21

A coin flip. The model nudges Houston Texans by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

Houston Texans

54%

to win

Indianapolis Colts

46%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Houston Texans
vs
Indianapolis Colts
#21Offense · EPA/play#9
#1Defense · EPA/play#16
#28Success rate#8

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

49 meetings since 1999

Indianapolis Colts leads 33–15–1

Last met 2025 · Houston Texans 3830 Indianapolis ColtsHouston Texans won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Houston Texans is hearing

What Indianapolis Colts is hearing

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