Week 3 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston Texans a 54% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#13 AFC South
Houston Texans
68% to make the playoffs

#24 AFC South
Indianapolis Colts
23% to make the playoffs
A coin flip. The model nudges Houston Texans by a field goal — 54% to win.
Houston Texans
54%
to win
Indianapolis Colts
46%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
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Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
Indianapolis Colts leads 33–15–1
Last met 2025 · Houston Texans 38–30 Indianapolis Colts— Houston Texans won
What Houston Texans is hearing
What Indianapolis Colts is hearing
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What Houston Texans is hearing
What Indianapolis Colts is hearing