AFC South
Houston Texans
2026 projection
Projected wins
9
9–8
Vegas win total
9.5
season over/under
Schedule
#14
14th-hardest slate
Make playoffs
68%
win division 55%
Win Super Bowl
4%
reach SB 8%
The model projects Houston Texans to about 9 wins, with a 68% shot at the playoffs and a 6% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Houston Texans win? The Ninjas project 9 · Vegas 9.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
vs Buffalo Bills· Wk 146% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Buffalo BillsVegas +1.5Toss-up46%
- Wk 2
vs Cincinnati BengalsVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 3
@ Indianapolis ColtsVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 4
vs Dallas CowboysVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 5
@ Tennessee TitansVegas -3.5Lean Win60% - Wk 6
vs Jacksonville Jaguars (neutral)Vegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 7
vs New York GiantsVegas -5.5Likely Win66% - Wk 9
@ Los Angeles ChargersLean Loss43% - Wk 10
@ Cleveland BrownsLean Win65% - Wk 11vs Indianapolis ColtsLikely Win68%
- Wk 12
vs Baltimore RavensToss-up46% - Wk 13
@ Pittsburgh SteelersToss-up51% - Wk 14
@ Washington CommandersLean Win55% - Wk 15vs Jacksonville JaguarsLean Win61%
- Wk 16
@ Philadelphia EaglesVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 17
@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss38% - Wk 18vs Tennessee TitansLikely Win74%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- SReed Blankenshipfrom Philadelphia Eagles
- DLLogan Hallfrom Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- RBDavid Montgomeryfrom Detroit Lions
- TEFoster Moreaufrom New Orleans Saints
- DLDominique Robinsonfrom Chicago Bears
Lost ↑
- CJake Andrewsreleased / FA
- TAireontae Erseryreleased / FA
- TTytus Howardreleased / FA
- GEd Ingramreleased / FA
- TTrent Brownreleased / FA
- WRChristian Kirkto San Francisco 49ers
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
8 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #26Keylan RutledgeGeorgia TechG
- R2 · #36Kayden McDonaldOhio St.DT
- R2 · #59Marlin KleinMichiganTE
- R4 · #106Febechi NwaiwuOklahomaOL
- R4 · #123Wade WoodazClemsonLB
- R5 · #141Kamari RamseyUSCS
- R6 · #204Lewis BondBoston Col.WR
- R7 · #243Aiden FisherIndianaLB
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