Week 3 · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 71% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#8 AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

80% to make the playoffs

@

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadKansas City Chiefs −7.5Vegas
Projected scoreKansas City Chiefs 26 — Miami Dolphins 18

Kansas City Chiefs is the pick by 7.5, but it's live — 71% on the model.

Chaos meter58 · LIVE
58/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas City Chiefs

71%

to win

Miami Dolphins

29%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas City Chiefs
vs
Miami Dolphins
#11Offense · EPA/play#22
#12Defense · EPA/play#26
#14Success rate#27

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

10 meetings since 1999

Kansas City Chiefs leads 7–3

Last met 2023 · Kansas City Chiefs 26–7 Miami Dolphins— Kansas City Chiefs won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas City Chiefs is hearing

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

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