AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs
2026 projection
Projected wins
10
10–7
Vegas win total
10.5
season over/under
Schedule
#27
6th-easiest slate
Make playoffs
80%
win division 51%
Win Super Bowl
7%
reach SB 15%
The model projects Kansas City Chiefs to about 10 wins, with a 80% shot at the playoffs and a 14% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Kansas City Chiefs win? The Ninjas project 10 · Vegas 10.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
vs Denver Broncos· Wk 159% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Denver BroncosVegas -3Lean Win59%
- Wk 2
vs Indianapolis ColtsVegas -6.5Likely Win68% - Wk 3
@ Miami DolphinsVegas -7.5Likely Win71% - Wk 4
@ Las Vegas RaidersVegas -5.5Likely Win66% - Wk 6
vs Los Angeles ChargersVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 7
@ Seattle SeahawksLean Loss41% - Wk 8@ Denver BroncosToss-up50%
- Wk 9
vs New York JetsLikely Win83% - Wk 10
@ Atlanta FalconsLikely Win66% - Wk 11
vs Arizona CardinalsLikely Win84% - Wk 12
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 13
@ Los Angeles RamsLean Loss40% - Wk 14
@ Cincinnati BengalsToss-up53% - Wk 15
vs New England PatriotsLean Win62% - Wk 16
vs San Francisco 49ersToss-up55% - Wk 17@ Los Angeles ChargersToss-up48%
- Wk 18vs Las Vegas RaidersLikely Win82%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- SAlohi Gilmanfrom Baltimore Ravens
- RBKenneth Walker IIIfrom Seattle Seahawks
- QBJustin Fieldsfrom New York Jets
- CBKaiir Elamfrom Dallas Cowboys
- DLKhyiris Tongafrom New England Patriots
- CBL'Jarius Sneedfrom Tennessee Titans
Lost ↑
- CCreed Humphreyreleased / FA
- TKingsley Suamataiareleased / FA
- CBJaylen Watsonto Los Angeles Rams
- SBryan Cookto Cincinnati Bengals
- TJawaan Taylorreleased / FA
- CBTrent McDuffieto Los Angeles Rams
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
7 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #6Mansoor DelaneLSUCB
- R1 · #29Peter WoodsClemsonDT
- R2 · #40R Mason ThomasOklahomaDE
- R4 · #109Jadon CanadyOregonCB
- R5 · #161Emmett JohnsonNebraskaRB
- R5 · #176Cyrus AllenCincinnatiWR
- R7 · #249Garrett NussmeierLSUQB
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