AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs
2026 projection
Projected wins
10.2
10–7
Vegas win total
10.5
season over/under
Make playoffs
80%
win division 51%
Win Super Bowl
7%
reach SB 15%
The model projects Kansas City Chiefs to about 10.2 wins, with a 80% shot at the playoffs and a 13% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Up next
vs Denver Broncos· Wk 157% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs Denver BroncosVegas -2.5Lean Win57%
- Wk 2
vs Indianapolis ColtsVegas -5.5Likely Win66% - Wk 3
@ Miami DolphinsVegas -7Likely Win70% - Wk 4
@ Las Vegas RaidersVegas -5.5Likely Win66% - Wk 6
vs Los Angeles ChargersLean Win59% - Wk 7
@ Seattle SeahawksLean Loss41% - Wk 8@ Denver BroncosToss-up50%
- Wk 9
vs New York JetsLikely Win83% - Wk 10
@ Atlanta FalconsLikely Win66% - Wk 11
vs Arizona CardinalsLikely Win84% - Wk 12
@ Buffalo BillsLean Loss43% - Wk 13
@ Los Angeles RamsLean Loss40% - Wk 14
@ Cincinnati BengalsToss-up53% - Wk 15
vs New England PatriotsLean Win62% - Wk 16
vs San Francisco 49ersToss-up55% - Wk 17@ Los Angeles ChargersToss-up48%
- Wk 18vs Las Vegas RaidersLikely Win82%
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