Week 4 · NFL
The TailgateNinjas model gives Cincinnati Bengals a 57% chance to beat Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#17 AFC South
Jacksonville Jaguars
43% to make the playoffs

#16 AFC North
Cincinnati Bengals
60% to make the playoffs
A coin flip. The model nudges Cincinnati Bengals by a field goal — 57% to win.
Jacksonville Jaguars
43%
to win
Cincinnati Bengals
57%
to win
Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.
Think you know better?
Pick this game against the spread
National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.
All square 9–9
Last met 2025 · Cincinnati Bengals 31–27 Jacksonville Jaguars— Cincinnati Bengals won
What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing
What Cincinnati Bengals is hearing
One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.
No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.
What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing
What Cincinnati Bengals is hearing