Week 4 · NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Cincinnati Bengals a 57% chance to beat Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#17 AFC South

Jacksonville Jaguars

43% to make the playoffs

@

#16 AFC North

Cincinnati Bengals

60% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadCincinnati Bengals −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreJacksonville Jaguars 21Cincinnati Bengals 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Cincinnati Bengals by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Jacksonville Jaguars

43%

to win

Cincinnati Bengals

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
Cincinnati Bengals
#14Offense · EPA/play#19
#3Defense · EPA/play#29
#15Success rate#11

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

18 meetings since 1999

All square 9–9

Last met 2025 · Cincinnati Bengals 3127 Jacksonville JaguarsCincinnati Bengals won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing

What Cincinnati Bengals is hearing

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