Week 5 · NFL

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Pittsburgh Steelers a 57% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#24 AFC South

Indianapolis Colts

23% to make the playoffs

@

#20 AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers

32% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadPittsburgh Steelers −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreIndianapolis Colts 21Pittsburgh Steelers 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Pittsburgh Steelers by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Indianapolis Colts

43%

to win

Pittsburgh Steelers

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Indianapolis Colts
vs
Pittsburgh Steelers
#9Offense · EPA/play#16
#16Defense · EPA/play#18
#8Success rate#17

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

15 meetings since 1999

Pittsburgh Steelers leads 11–4

Last met 2025 · Pittsburgh Steelers 2720 Indianapolis ColtsPittsburgh Steelers won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Indianapolis Colts is hearing

What Pittsburgh Steelers is hearing

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