NFL · 2026
Updated Aug 4, 2026The TailgateNinjas model has predictions for all 15 nfl games in Week 5, including 0 where our number differs from the betting line by 3 points or more. Updated August 4, 2026.
Every game with our model's win probability and how it compares to the posted line. Tap any matchup for the full read. Once the games are played, this page keeps the receipts.
Win probability nearest a coin flip — the model's least confident calls of the week.
Both teams inside our top 25, ordered by playoff leverage.
All 15 games, ordered by how much they move the playoff picture.
One email on Tuesdays: the games that moved the board, and an honest scoring of the calls we just made.
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