Week 6 · NFL

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 60% chance to beat Atlanta Falcons in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

@

#26 NFC South

Atlanta Falcons

11% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −3.5Vegas
Projected scoreChicago Bears 24 — Atlanta Falcons 20

A coin flip. The model nudges Chicago Bears by a field goal — 60% to win.

Chaos meter80 · TOSS-UP
80/ 100
CalmMayhem

Chicago Bears

60%

to win

Atlanta Falcons

40%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Chicago Bears
vs
Atlanta Falcons
#8Offense · EPA/play#24
#19Defense · EPA/play#15
#9Success rate#18

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

11 meetings since 1999

Chicago Bears leads 7–4

Last met 2023 · Chicago Bears 37–17 Atlanta Falcons— Chicago Bears won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Chicago Bears is hearing

What Atlanta Falcons is hearing

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