NFC South
Atlanta Falcons
2026 projection
Projected wins
7
7–10
Vegas win total
6.5
season over/under
Schedule
#9
9th-hardest slate
Make playoffs
11%
win division 10%
Win Super Bowl
<1%
reach SB <1%
The model projects Atlanta Falcons to about 7 wins, with a 11% shot at the playoffs and a <1% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Atlanta Falcons win? The Ninjas project 7 · Vegas 6.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
@ Pittsburgh Steelers· Wk 141% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Pittsburgh SteelersVegas +3Lean Loss41%
- Wk 2
vs Carolina PanthersVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 3
@ Green Bay PackersVegas +7.5Likely Loss29% - Wk 4
@ New Orleans SaintsVegas +2.5Lean Loss43% - Wk 5
vs Baltimore RavensVegas +4.5Lean Loss37% - Wk 6
vs Chicago BearsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 7
vs San Francisco 49ersVegas +4.5Lean Loss37% - Wk 8
@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersLikely Loss33% - Wk 9
vs Cincinnati Bengals (neutral)Vegas +4.5Lean Loss37% - Wk 10
vs Kansas City ChiefsLikely Loss34% - Wk 12
@ Minnesota VikingsLikely Loss34% - Wk 13
vs Detroit LionsLean Loss36% - Wk 14
@ Cleveland BrownsToss-up48% - Wk 15
@ Washington CommandersLean Loss38% - Wk 16vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLean Loss45%
- Wk 17vs New Orleans SaintsToss-up54%
- Wk 18@ Carolina PanthersLean Loss39%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- QBTua Tagovailoafrom Miami Dolphins
- WRJahan Dotsonfrom Philadelphia Eagles
- TEAustin Hooperfrom New England Patriots
- WROlamide Zaccheausfrom Chicago Bears
- DLDa'Shawn Handfrom Los Angeles Chargers
- DESamson Ebukamfrom Indianapolis Colts
Lost ↑
- LBKaden Ellissto New Orleans Saints
- OLElijah Wilkinsonreleased / FA
- OLRyan Neuzilreleased / FA
- GChris Lindstromreleased / FA
- TJake Matthewsreleased / FA
- OLMatthew Bergeronreleased / FA
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
6 picks · via nflverse- R2 · #48Avieon TerrellClemsonCB
- R3 · #79Zachariah BranchGeorgiaWR
- R4 · #134Kendal DanielsOklahomaLB
- R6 · #208Anterio ThompsonWashingtonDT
- R6 · #215Harold Perkins Jr.LSULB
- R7 · #231Ethan OnianwaOhio St.G
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