Week 7 · NFL

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 54% chance to beat New England Patriots in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

@

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −1.5Vegas
Projected scoreNew England Patriots 21 — Chicago Bears 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Chicago Bears by a field goal — 54% to win.

Chaos meter91 · TOSS-UP
91/ 100
CalmMayhem

New England Patriots

46%

to win

Chicago Bears

54%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
New England Patriots
vs
Chicago Bears
#1Offense · EPA/play#8
#11Defense · EPA/play#19
#3Success rate#9

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

8 meetings since 1999

New England Patriots leads 6–2

Last met 2024 · Chicago Bears 3–19 New England Patriots— New England Patriots won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What New England Patriots is hearing

What Chicago Bears is hearing

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