Week 8 · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Denver Broncos a 51% chance to beat Kansas City Chiefs in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#8 AFC West

Kansas City Chiefs

80% to make the playoffs

@

#14 AFC West

Denver Broncos

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDenver Broncos −0.5Model
Projected scoreKansas City Chiefs 22 — Denver Broncos 22

A coin flip. The model nudges Denver Broncos by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP
97/ 100
CalmMayhem

Kansas City Chiefs

49%

to win

Denver Broncos

51%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Kansas City Chiefs
vs
Denver Broncos
#11Offense · EPA/play#10
#12Defense · EPA/play#6
#14Success rate#16

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Kansas City Chiefs leads 30–24

Last met 2025 · Kansas City Chiefs 13–20 Denver Broncos— Denver Broncos won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Kansas City Chiefs is hearing

What Denver Broncos is hearing

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