Week 9 · NFL

Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Green Bay Packers a 51% chance to beat New England Patriots in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#4 NFC North

Green Bay Packers

71% to make the playoffs

#15 AFC East

New England Patriots

63% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadGreen Bay Packers −0.5Model

Projected scoreGreen Bay Packers 22 — New England Patriots 22

A coin flip. The model nudges Green Bay Packers by a field goal — 51% to win.

Chaos meter97 · TOSS-UP

97/ 100

CalmMayhem

Green Bay Packers

51%

to win

New England Patriots

49%

to win

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2025 efficiency · ranks

Green Bay Packers

New England Patriots

#4Offense · EPA/play#1

#22Defense · EPA/play#11

#5Success rate#3

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

6 meetings since 1999

All square 3–3

Last met 2022 · Green Bay Packers 27–24 New England Patriots— Green Bay Packers won

via Google News

What Green Bay Packers is hearing

What New England Patriots is hearing

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