Week 10 · NFL

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Houston Texans a 66% chance to beat Cleveland Browns in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#13 AFC South

Houston Texans

68% to make the playoffs

@

#28 AFC North

Cleveland Browns

7% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadHouston Texans −5.5Model
Projected scoreHouston Texans 25Cleveland Browns 19

Houston Texans is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter68 · LIVE
68/ 100
CalmMayhem

Houston Texans

66%

to win

Cleveland Browns

34%

to win

Who wins?

Be the first

Tap a team to call it — then see if the crowd agrees with the model.

Think you know better?

Pick this game against the spread

Make your pick →

Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Houston Texans
vs
Cleveland Browns
#21Offense · EPA/play#31
#1Defense · EPA/play#5
#28Success rate#32

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

15 meetings since 1999

Houston Texans leads 8–7

Last met 2023 · Houston Texans 4514 Cleveland BrownsHouston Texans won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Houston Texans is hearing

What Cleveland Browns is hearing

Get The Drop

One email on Tuesdays: the week's biggest swings, and a straight accounting of the calls we missed.

No spam, no selling your address. One click to leave.