Week 11 · NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Buffalo Bills a 86% chance to beat Miami Dolphins in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#32 AFC East

Miami Dolphins

1% to make the playoffs

@

#5 AFC East

Buffalo Bills

85% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadBuffalo Bills −14.5Model
Projected scoreMiami Dolphins 15 — Buffalo Bills 29

Buffalo Bills should handle it: 14.5-point edge, 86% to win.

Chaos meter28 · LEAN
28/ 100
CalmMayhem

Miami Dolphins

14%

to win

Buffalo Bills

86%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Miami Dolphins
vs
Buffalo Bills
#22Offense · EPA/play#3
#26Defense · EPA/play#13
#27Success rate#2

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

55 meetings since 1999

Buffalo Bills leads 35–20

Last met 2025 · Miami Dolphins 30–13 Buffalo Bills— Miami Dolphins won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Miami Dolphins is hearing

What Buffalo Bills is hearing

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