AFC East
Buffalo Bills
2026 projection
Projected wins
10
10–7
Vegas win total
10.5
season over/under
Schedule
#20
13th-easiest slate
Make playoffs
85%
win division 67%
Win Super Bowl
9%
reach SB 17%
The model projects Buffalo Bills to about 10 wins, with a 85% shot at the playoffs and a 18% chance at the AFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Buffalo Bills win? The Ninjas project 10 · Vegas 10.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
@ Houston Texans· Wk 154% WINSchedule
- Wk 1@ Houston TexansVegas -1.5Toss-up54%
- Wk 2
vs Detroit LionsVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 3
vs Los Angeles ChargersVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 4
vs New England PatriotsVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 5
@ Los Angeles RamsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 6
@ Las Vegas RaidersVegas -6.5Likely Win68% - Wk 8
vs Baltimore RavensToss-up52% - Wk 9
@ Minnesota VikingsLean Win57% - Wk 10
@ New York JetsLikely Win76% - Wk 11
vs Miami DolphinsLikely Win86% - Wk 12
vs Kansas City ChiefsVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 13@ New England PatriotsToss-up51%
- Wk 14
@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss44% - Wk 15
vs Chicago BearsLean Win62% - Wk 16
@ Denver BroncosVegas -1.5Toss-up54% - Wk 17@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win78%
- Wk 18vs New York JetsLikely Win84%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- WRD.J. Moorefrom Chicago Bears
- SGeno Stonefrom Cincinnati Bengals
- LBBradley Chubbfrom Miami Dolphins
- DBC.J. Gardner-Johnsonfrom Chicago Bears
- CBDeAundre Alfordfrom Atlanta Falcons
- DEMichael Dannafrom Kansas City Chiefs
Lost ↑
- GO'Cyrus Torrencereleased / FA
- GDavid Edwardsreleased / FA
- GConnor McGovernreleased / FA
- TDion Dawkinsreleased / FA
- TSpencer Brownreleased / FA
- CBTre'Davious Whitereleased / FA
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
10 picks · via nflverse- R2 · #35T.J. ParkerClemsonDE
- R2 · #62Davison IgbinosunOhio St.CB
- R4 · #102Jude BowryBoston Col.OT
- R4 · #125Skyler BellConnecticutWR
- R4 · #126Kaleb Elarms-OrrTCULB
- R5 · #167Jalon KilgoreSouth CarolinaCB
- R5 · #181Zane DurantPenn St.DT
- R7 · #220Toriano Pride Jr.MissouriCB
- R7 · #239Tommy DomanFloridaP
- R7 · #241Ar'maj Reed-AdamsTexas A&MG
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