Week 11 · NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Detroit Lions a 66% chance to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#18 NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

52% to make the playoffs

@

#9 NFC North

Detroit Lions

69% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDetroit Lions −5.5Model
Projected scoreTampa Bay Buccaneers 19 — Detroit Lions 25

Detroit Lions is the pick by 5.5, but it's live — 66% on the model.

Chaos meter68 · LIVE
68/ 100
CalmMayhem

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

34%

to win

Detroit Lions

66%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
vs
Detroit Lions
#20Offense · EPA/play#7
#17Defense · EPA/play#14
#24Success rate#12

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

21 meetings since 1999

Tampa Bay Buccaneers leads 11–10

Last met 2025 · Detroit Lions 24–9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers— Detroit Lions won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Tampa Bay Buccaneers is hearing

What Detroit Lions is hearing

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