NFC North
Detroit Lions
2026 projection
Projected wins
10
10–7
Vegas win total
10.5
season over/under
Schedule
#31
2nd-easiest slate
Make playoffs
69%
win division 36%
Win Super Bowl
5%
reach SB 9%
The model projects Detroit Lions to about 10 wins, with a 69% shot at the playoffs and a 10% chance at the NFC's top seed and a first-round bye.
Call the season
How many games does Detroit Lions win? The Ninjas project 10 · Vegas 10.5.
Tap a number to call it — then see how you stack up against the Ninjas.
Up next
vs New Orleans Saints· Wk 170% WINSchedule
- Wk 1vs New Orleans SaintsVegas -7Likely Win70%
- Wk 2
@ Buffalo BillsVegas +3Lean Loss41% - Wk 3
vs New York JetsVegas -9.5Likely Win76% - Wk 4
@ Carolina PanthersVegas -3Lean Win59% - Wk 5
@ Arizona CardinalsVegas -8.5Likely Win74% - Wk 7
vs Green Bay PackersToss-up52% - Wk 8
vs Minnesota VikingsLean Win65% - Wk 9
@ Miami DolphinsLikely Win75% - Wk 10
vs New England Patriots (neutral)Vegas +1.5Toss-up46% - Wk 11
vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLean Win64% - Wk 12
vs Chicago BearsVegas -2.5Lean Win57% - Wk 13
@ Atlanta FalconsLean Win64% - Wk 14
vs Tennessee TitansLikely Win76% - Wk 15@ Minnesota VikingsToss-up54%
- Wk 16
vs New York GiantsLikely Win70% - Wk 17@ Chicago BearsToss-up47%
- Wk 18@ Green Bay PackersLean Loss41%
Offseason moves
by 2025 snaps · via nflverseAdded ↓
- LBD.J. Wonnumfrom Carolina Panthers
- DBChuck Clarkfrom Pittsburgh Steelers
- RBIsiah Pachecofrom Kansas City Chiefs
- CBRoger McCrearyfrom Tennessee Titans
- WRGreg Dortchfrom Arizona Cardinals
- DLJay Tufelefrom New York Jets
Lost ↑
- OLTate Ratledgereleased / FA
- LBAlex Anzaloneto Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- TPenei Sewellreleased / FA
- TTaylor Deckerreleased / FA
- OLGraham Glasgowreleased / FA
- CBAmik Robertsonto Washington Commanders
Veterans with 200+ snaps in 2025 who changed teams. Rookies are in the draft class below.
2026 Draft class
7 picks · via nflverse- R1 · #17Blake MillerClemsonOT
- R2 · #44Derrick MooreMichiganDE
- R4 · #118Jimmy RolderMichiganLB
- R5 · #157Keith Abney IIArizona St.CB
- R5 · #168Kendrick LawKentuckyWR
- R6 · #205Skyler Gill-HowardTexas TechDT
- R7 · #222Tyre WestTennesseeDT
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