Week 12 · NFL

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Detroit Lions a 57% chance to beat Chicago Bears in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

@

#9 NFC North

Detroit Lions

69% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadDetroit Lions −2.5Vegas
Projected scoreChicago Bears 21 — Detroit Lions 23

A coin flip. The model nudges Detroit Lions by a field goal — 57% to win.

Chaos meter85 · TOSS-UP
85/ 100
CalmMayhem

Chicago Bears

43%

to win

Detroit Lions

57%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Chicago Bears
vs
Detroit Lions
#8Offense · EPA/play#7
#19Defense · EPA/play#14
#9Success rate#12

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

54 meetings since 1999

Chicago Bears leads 28–26

Last met 2025 · Chicago Bears 16–19 Detroit Lions— Detroit Lions won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Chicago Bears is hearing

What Detroit Lions is hearing

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