Week 13 · NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Chicago Bears prediction

The TailgateNinjas model gives Chicago Bears a 63% chance to beat Jacksonville Jaguars in this NFL matchup. Updated August 4, 2026.

#17 AFC South

Jacksonville Jaguars

43% to make the playoffs

@

#12 NFC North

Chicago Bears

47% to make the playoffs

The model's read

SpreadChicago Bears −4.5Model
Projected scoreJacksonville Jaguars 20 — Chicago Bears 24

Chicago Bears is the pick by 4.5, but it's live — 63% on the model.

Chaos meter74 · LIVE
74/ 100
CalmMayhem

Jacksonville Jaguars

37%

to win

Chicago Bears

63%

to win

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Tale of the tape

2025 efficiency · ranks
Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
Chicago Bears
#14Offense · EPA/play#8
#3Defense · EPA/play#19
#15Success rate#9

National ranks from last season (1 = best). The 2026 outlook builds on this.

Series history

7 meetings since 1999

Chicago Bears leads 5–2

Last met 2024 · Chicago Bears 35–16 Jacksonville Jaguars (neutral)— Chicago Bears won

Both sidelines

via Google News

What Jacksonville Jaguars is hearing

What Chicago Bears is hearing

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